Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.286591 0.328742 0.373975 0.426012 0.484105 0.546841 0.619594
2025-12-07 0.213641 0.269505 0.334267 0.414408 0.510396 0.621126 0.757945
2025-12-14 0.166051 0.229313 0.308160 0.412472 0.545522 0.708125 0.920263
2025-12-21 0.128339 0.193626 0.280878 0.403806 0.569963 0.783891 1.076789
2025-12-28 0.107528 0.175943 0.273333 0.418415 0.624648 0.902256 1.298072
2026-01-04 0.090894 0.160719 0.266215 0.431694 0.677949 1.022901 1.532676
2026-01-11 0.075252 0.143710 0.253357 0.434103 0.714998 1.123378 1.747157
2026-01-18 0.062404 0.128502 0.240510 0.434063 0.747309 1.218611 1.960526
2026-01-25 0.051778 0.114842 0.227735 0.431821 0.774986 1.308062 2.170860
2026-02-01 0.043279 0.103237 0.216415 0.429997 0.802252 1.397910 2.386935
2026-02-08 0.036231 0.092887 0.205533 0.427096 0.826673 1.484133 2.602084
2026-02-15 0.030216 0.083290 0.194391 0.421936 0.846044 1.562701 2.809114
2026-02-22 0.026320 0.077665 0.190413 0.430040 0.890173 1.686480 3.099472
2026-03-01 0.021927 0.069749 0.180366 0.424989 0.909789 1.770075 3.328848
2026-03-08 0.018791 0.064184 0.174414 0.427280 0.943059 1.879279 3.607756
2026-03-15 0.015623 0.057621 0.165021 0.421044 0.959094 1.958734 3.839986
2026-03-22 0.014218 0.055741 0.166337 0.437960 1.022050 2.126656 4.235838
2026-03-29 0.012869 0.053659 0.166792 0.452935 1.082198 2.292905 4.637293
2026-04-05 0.011172 0.049931 0.162394 0.456194 1.118297 2.416175 4.967595
2026-04-12 0.009609 0.046139 0.157117 0.456633 1.148276 2.529328 5.284910
2026-04-19 0.008194 0.042367 0.151167 0.454596 1.172534 2.632561 5.588708
2026-04-26 0.006998 0.038985 0.145663 0.452884 1.197156 2.737650 5.900817
2026-05-03 0.005949 0.035771 0.140006 0.449975 1.218650 2.837453 6.207362